| Likelihood of Terrorism | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Global Security Alert | 13-Oct-08 | Published 14-Oct-08 | 2737-2757 | Listing | 21 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Likelihood of Terrorism - Correlated with World Events | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Assumption: A Rational Terrorist Would Prefer to Strike When the Destructive Potential Entailed in Economic Uncertainty Has Just Peaked and the Opportunity for Terrorism Is Maximal. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 21-Day Listing of the Economic Uncertainty and Terrorism Alert Indices and the Associated Distributions. The Legend Below Presents the MI2 Color Coding System for the Economic Uncertainty and Terrorism Alert Indices and for the World Events. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Distribution of 1-D Terrorism Alert Codes and of ECON Uncertainty Codes: Rolling Cumulative 30-Day Window | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| LEGEND | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Copyright © 2001-2008 by Dr. Edward E. Ayoub. All Rights Reserved. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Copyright © 2001-2008 by Macroknow Inc. All Rights Reserved. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| A6-14-Oct-08 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||