Economic Uncertainty/Terrorism Alert - History/Forecast
-0	Low Probability-High Impact Terrorism																4-Feb-12			Published 5-Feb-12
	History: 4-Jan-12 - 4-Feb-12; Forecast: 5-Feb-12 - 19-Feb-12
	Economic Uncertainty and 7/60-Day Terrorism Alert Indexes.
	The A7D Model, Which Uses 7 "What If" Forecasts, Is Experimental; It Is Part of a Program to Develop and Test Instruments for Detecting Propitious Opportunities for Low Probability-High Impact Terrorism with 9/11 as the Archetype.
	06-Jan-12	90.0%	H	-0.358	R	-0.119	R	-0.119	R	0.0%	33.3%	66.7%	0.0%	0.0%	50.0%	10.0%	6.7%	0.0%	33.3%
	07-Jan-12	88.8%	S	-0.683	R	-0.287	R	-0.287	R	0.0%	30.0%	66.7%	3.3%	0.0%	53.3%	10.0%	6.7%	0.0%	30.0%
	08-Jan-12	88.6%	S	-0.074	R	-0.261	R	-0.261	R	0.0%	26.7%	66.7%	6.7%	0.0%	53.3%	10.0%	6.7%	0.0%	30.0%
	09-Jan-12	89.1%	H	0.264	G	-0.238	R	-0.238	R	0.0%	23.3%	70.0%	6.7%	0.0%	53.3%	10.0%	3.3%	0.0%	33.3%
	10-Jan-12	89.5%	H	0.234	G	-0.180	R	-0.180	R	0.0%	20.0%	73.3%	6.7%	0.0%	50.0%	10.0%	3.3%	0.0%	36.7%
	11-Jan-12	89.4%	H	-0.065	O	-0.122	R	-0.122	R	0.0%	16.7%	76.7%	6.7%	0.0%	50.0%	13.3%	3.3%	0.0%	33.3%
	12-Jan-12	89.7%	H	0.177	G	-0.072	R	-0.082	R	0.0%	16.7%	76.7%	6.7%	0.0%	46.7%	13.3%	3.3%	0.0%	36.7%
	13-Jan-12	89.2%	H	-0.299	R	-0.064	O	-0.099	R	0.0%	13.3%	80.0%	6.7%	0.0%	50.0%	13.3%	3.3%	0.0%	33.3%
	14-Jan-12	88.9%	S	-0.155	R	0.012	B	-0.107	R	0.0%	10.0%	80.0%	10.0%	0.0%	53.3%	13.3%	3.3%	0.0%	30.0%
	15-Jan-12	89.3%	H	0.208	G	0.052	G	-0.094	R	0.0%	6.7%	83.3%	10.0%	0.0%	50.0%	13.3%	3.3%	0.0%	33.3%
	16-Jan-12	89.2%	H	-0.063	O	0.005	B	-0.098	R	0.0%	3.3%	86.7%	10.0%	0.0%	50.0%	16.7%	3.3%	0.0%	30.0%
	17-Jan-12	89.4%	H	0.128	G	-0.010	Y	-0.089	R	0.0%	0.0%	90.0%	10.0%	0.0%	46.7%	16.7%	3.3%	0.0%	33.3%
	18-Jan-12	89.6%	H	0.105	G	0.014	B	-0.082	R	0.0%	0.0%	90.0%	10.0%	0.0%	43.3%	16.7%	3.3%	0.0%	36.7%
	19-Jan-12	89.3%	H	-0.170	R	-0.035	O	-0.086	R	0.0%	0.0%	90.0%	10.0%	0.0%	46.7%	13.3%	3.3%	0.0%	36.7%
	20-Jan-12	90.2%	H	0.517	G	0.081	G	-0.058	O	0.0%	0.0%	90.0%	10.0%	0.0%	43.3%	13.3%	3.3%	0.0%	40.0%
	21-Jan-12	91.6%	H	0.814	G	0.220	G	-0.028	Y	0.0%	0.0%	90.0%	10.0%	0.0%	40.0%	13.3%	3.3%	0.0%	43.3%
	22-Jan-12	91.4%	H	-0.143	R	0.170	G	-0.028	Y	0.0%	0.0%	90.0%	10.0%	0.0%	43.3%	10.0%	3.3%	0.0%	43.3%
	23-Jan-12	90.9%	H	-0.249	R	0.143	G	-0.035	O	0.0%	0.0%	90.0%	10.0%	0.0%	46.7%	10.0%	3.3%	0.0%	40.0%
	24-Jan-12	91.2%	H	0.163	G	0.148	G	-0.036	O	0.0%	0.0%	90.0%	10.0%	0.0%	43.3%	10.0%	3.3%	0.0%	43.3%
	25-Jan-12	91.2%	H	-0.023	Y	0.130	G	-0.037	O	0.0%	0.0%	90.0%	10.0%	0.0%	43.3%	6.7%	6.7%	0.0%	43.3%
	26-Jan-12	90.8%	H	-0.222	R	0.123	G	-0.042	O	0.0%	0.0%	90.0%	10.0%	0.0%	46.7%	6.7%	6.7%	0.0%	40.0%
	27-Jan-12	91.5%	H	0.386	G	0.104	G	-0.034	O	0.0%	0.0%	90.0%	10.0%	0.0%	46.7%	6.7%	3.3%	0.0%	43.3%
	28-Jan-12	91.7%	H	0.126	G	0.005	B	-0.030	O	0.0%	0.0%	90.0%	10.0%	0.0%	43.3%	6.7%	3.3%	0.0%	46.7%
	29-Jan-12	91.4%	H	-0.172	R	0.001	B	-0.031	O	0.0%	0.0%	90.0%	10.0%	0.0%	46.7%	6.7%	3.3%	0.0%	43.3%
	30-Jan-12	90.9%	H	-0.231	R	0.004	B	-0.038	O	0.0%	0.0%	90.0%	10.0%	0.0%	50.0%	6.7%	3.3%	0.0%	40.0%
	31-Jan-12	91.0%	H	0.057	G	-0.011	Y	-0.045	O	0.0%	0.0%	90.0%	10.0%	0.0%	47.1%	6.7%	3.3%	0.0%	42.9%
	01-Feb-12	91.4%	H	0.388	G	0.047	G	-0.040	O	0.0%	0.0%	90.0%	10.0%	0.0%	47.6%	6.7%	3.3%	0.0%	42.4%
	02-Feb-12	91.9%	H	0.241	G	0.113	G	-0.032	O	0.0%	0.0%	90.0%	10.0%	0.0%	44.3%	6.7%	3.3%	0.5%	45.2%
	03-Feb-12	92.5%	H	0.377	G	0.112	G	-0.031	O	0.0%	0.0%	90.0%	10.0%	0.0%	41.0%	6.7%	3.3%	0.5%	48.6%
	04-Feb-12	92.5%	H	-0.016	Y	0.092	G	-0.036	O	0.0%	0.0%	90.0%	10.0%	0.0%	38.6%	6.7%	3.8%	1.0%	50.0%
	05-Feb-12	92.9%	H	0.245	G	0.151	G	-0.031	O	0.0%	1.0%	89.0%	10.0%	0.0%	35.7%	6.7%	3.8%	1.0%	52.9%
	06-Feb-12	93.0%	H	0.097	G	0.198	G	-0.029	Y	0.0%	1.9%	91.0%	7.1%	0.0%	32.9%	6.7%	3.8%	1.9%	54.8%
	07-Feb-12	93.2%	H	0.127	G	0.208	G	-0.024	Y	0.0%	2.9%	92.9%	4.3%	0.0%	30.0%	6.7%	3.8%	1.9%	57.6%
	08-Feb-12	92.9%	H	-0.154	R	0.131	G	-0.034	O	0.0%	3.8%	91.4%	4.8%	0.0%	31.9%	7.1%	4.3%	2.4%	54.3%
	09-Feb-12	92.6%	H	-0.134	R	0.077	G	-0.045	O	0.0%	4.8%	90.0%	5.2%	0.0%	33.8%	7.6%	4.3%	2.9%	51.4%
	10-Feb-12	92.3%	H	-0.129	R	0.005	B	-0.071	R	0.0%	5.7%	88.6%	5.7%	0.0%	35.7%	5.2%	4.3%	2.9%	51.9%
	11-Feb-12	92.2%	H	-0.023	Y	0.004	B	-0.067	O	0.0%	6.7%	87.1%	6.2%	0.0%	36.7%	5.7%	4.8%	2.9%	50.0%
	12-Feb-12	92.0%	H	-0.144	R	-0.051	O	-0.095	R	0.0%	7.6%	85.7%	6.7%	0.0%	34.8%	6.2%	4.8%	3.3%	51.0%
	13-Feb-12	92.0%	H	0.033	G	-0.061	O	-0.101	R	0.0%	8.6%	87.6%	3.8%	0.0%	32.4%	6.2%	4.8%	3.3%	53.3%
	14-Feb-12	91.8%	H	-0.023	Y	-0.082	R	-0.125	R	0.0%	9.5%	86.2%	4.3%	0.0%	33.8%	6.2%	5.2%	3.3%	51.4%
	15-Feb-12	91.2%	H	-0.344	R	-0.109	R	-0.147	R	0.0%	10.5%	84.8%	4.8%	0.0%	37.1%	2.9%	5.2%	3.3%	51.4%
	16-Feb-12	91.0%	H	-0.093	R	-0.103	R	-0.144	R	0.0%	11.4%	83.3%	4.8%	0.5%	39.0%	2.9%	5.2%	3.3%	49.5%
	17-Feb-12	90.2%	H	-0.422	R	-0.145	R	-0.183	R	0.0%	12.4%	81.4%	5.2%	1.0%	41.0%	3.3%	5.7%	3.3%	46.7%
	18-Feb-12	90.1%	H	0.061	G	-0.133	R	-0.182	R	0.0%	13.3%	79.5%	5.7%	1.4%	38.1%	3.8%	5.7%	3.3%	49.0%
	19-Feb-12	88.8%	S	-0.850	R	-0.234	R	-0.266	R	0.0%	14.3%	77.6%	6.2%	1.9%	41.4%	3.8%	5.7%	3.3%	45.7%
	LEGEND
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