| Threat Assessment - Destructive Potential/Terrorism | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| -0 | High Impact Terrorism: A7D/CI7D Models | Forecast's Base Date | 19-May-13 | Published 20-May-13 | U | R | U | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | ||||||||||||||||||
| Threat Assessment on 20-May-13 for 20-May-13 - 3-Jun-13 [Pessimistic Scenario] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| The Destructive Potential is typically entailed in Economic Uncertainty – but it can also be entailed in Moral Uncertainty [Socio-Political or Socio-Cultural Uncertainty]. In the Charts below, only the Destructive Potential entailed in Economic Uncertainty is shown. The Destructive Potential Entailed in Economic Uncertainty Increases when the Economic Uncertainty Increases. Time Periods with High Destructive Potential Give Rise to Propitious Opportunities for Terrorism. Actions by Governments and Business Leaders to Reduce Extreme Uncertainty, If Mismanaged, Likely Create Propitious Opportunities for Catastrophic Terrorism. Terrorism Advantage Codes RED/GREEN Indicate Advantage/Disadvantage to Attacker. The analysis below features only the Destructive Potential entailed in Economic Uncertainty. The Indexes Are Correlated with Selected Top News Items. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Charts A1, B1, and C1 Show Historical Data for 20-Apr-13 - 19-May-13. Charts A2, B2, and C2 Show Forecasts for 20-May-13 - 3-Jun-13 Using the A7D Model. Chart C3 Shows the Confidence Intervals for the Forecasted 7/60-Day Terrorism Alert Index Using the CI7D Model. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Use Internet Explorer to View Security Charts | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Destructive Potential Entailed in Economic Uncertainty | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Propitiousness for Terrorism | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 20-Jun-09 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| A1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| CODE GREEN | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Terrorism Advantage Index | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ORANGE | 20-Jan-09 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Economic Uncertainty | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Threat Assessment Model and Forecast ─ What to Monitor | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| LEGEND | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Obama's First 1582 Days | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Copyright © 2001-2013 by Dr. Edward E. Ayoub. All Rights Reserved. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Copyright © 2001-2013 by Macroknow Inc. All Rights Reserved. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| DPTAe-20-May-13 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| UWI7>>S-C-F | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||