Conditional Likelihood of Terrorism

9/11 What If Simulation

MACROKNOW NEWS SERVICES

Likelihood/Destructive Potential of Terrorism

30-Sep-01

Published 11-Dec-04

Likelihood of Terrorism and Destructive Potential Entailed in Economic Uncertainty: History, 13-Jul-01 - 10-Sep-01; 20-Day 'What If' Forecast, 11-Sep-01 - 30-Sep-01

'What If' Simulation Assumes a Stationary Mindshare from 10-Sep-01 through 30-Sep-01. Forecast Must Be Interpreted with Care.

Listing of the Economic Uncertainty Index, the Terrorism Alert Codes, and Associated Distributions.

Distribution of 1-D Terrorism Alert Codes and of ECON Uncertainty Codes: Rolling Cumulative 30-Day Window

LEGEND