MIME-Version: 1.0 X-Document-Type: Worksheet Content-Type: multipart/related; boundary="----=_NextPart_01C97F92.8798CA60" This document is a Single File Web Page, also known as a Web Archive file. If you are seeing this message, your browser or editor doesn't support Web Archive files. Please download a browser that supports Web Archive, such as Windows® Internet Explorer®. ------=_NextPart_01C97F92.8798CA60 Content-Location: file:///C:/85899C53/A3.htm Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Content-Type: text/html

2008

2008 Economic/Moral U= ncertainty

Uncertainty and Terrorism Indices

1-Jan-09

Published 16-Jan-09

Economic and Moral Uncertainty Indices: 1-Jan-08 - 1-Jan-09

A significant increase in the Economic Uncertainty forebodes a significant increase in the destructive potential of possible future terrorist attacks. Note that the Terrorism Alert Indexes are derived f= rom the Economic Uncertainty Index and not<= /font> from the Moral Uncertainty Index. The thresholds fo= r the EXTREME (Code X, RED) and VERY HIGH (Code V, ORANGE) threat levels for the ECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY INDEX have been calibrated usi= ng two major world events, 9/11 and Israel's incursion into Palestinian territory. 9/11 was preceded by persistent code RED Economic Uncer= tainty signals, and Israel's incursion by persistent code ORANGE signals.

A3-16-Jan-09

UTAP>>S-C-T

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