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The MI2 forecast indicates that the G8 Summit (6-8-Jun-07) in Heiligendamm, Germany

• Could be a propitious opportunity for CODE ORANGE DESTRUCTION – the scale and timing of the global economic uncertainty could be exploited by terrorists to inflict hundreds of deaths per incident.

CLICK HERE FOR A GRAPHICAL THREAT ASSESSMENT

See DISCLAIMER.

MI2 EARLY WARNING SYSTEM
GLOBAL TERRORISM ALERT

• THE BUILDUP IN CODE RED DESTRUCTIVE POTENTIAL, STARTING 4-FEB-07, HAS BEEN PERSISTENT AND IS NOW SUBSTANTIAL (50.0%).
• IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE, THE EXTREME DESTRUCTIVE POTENTIAL (THE POTENTIAL FOR THOUSANDS OF DEATHS PER INCIDENT) COULD RISE TO 87.1% AROUND 5-MAR-07.

THE EXTREME DESTRUCTIVE POTENTIAL IS THE AMOUNT OF DESTRUCTIVE "POTENTIAL" THAT CAN BE CONVERTED INTO "REAL" CATASTROPHIC TERRORISM.

THE CONVERSION CAN OCCUR WHEN 2 CONDITIONS OBTAIN: (1) THE PROPITIOUSNESS FOR CODE RED TERRORISM IS HIGH; AND (2) THE TERRORISM ALERT CODE IS RED (ADVANTAGE FOR TERRORISTS).

WHILE THE CURRENT PROPITIOUSNESS IS NOT HIGH AND THE TERRORISM ALERT CODE IS BLUE (ADVANTAGE FOR AUTHORITIES), THE SITUATION COULD CHANGE DRAMATICALLY AFTER THE EXTREME DESTRUCTIVE POTENTIAL REACHES ITS PEAK.

ANIMATION - THREAT ASSESSMENTS BASED ON THE FOLLOWING DATES:

• 2-Feb-07 - U.N. IPCC Global Warning.
• 3-Feb-07 - 135 Killed in Baghdad, Iraq.
• 5-Feb-07 - 2008 U.S. Budget.
• 6-Feb-07 - Internet Hacked.
• 10-Feb-07 - Senator Barack Obama Joins 2008 U.S. Presidential Race.
• 13-Feb-07 - North Korea Nuclear Deal (See 14-Feb-07).
• 14-Feb-07 - Al Qaeda in Saudi Arabia Called for Attacks on U.S. Oil Supplies. Rudolph W. Giuliani, Former New York City Mayor, Joins 2008 U.S. Presidential Race.
• 15-Feb-07.
• 16-Feb-07 - Refinery Fire in Texas (See 17-Feb-07).
• 17-Feb-07 - U.S. Senate Blocked House's Anti-War Resolution.
• 18-Feb-07 - U.S. CH-47 Chinook Crashed in Afghanistan.
• 19-Feb-07 - Lahore-Bound Train Bombing Killed 67 Mostly Pakistanis.

EMOTIONS, FEELINGS, AND IRRATIONAL EXUBERANCE OR GLOOM WORLDWIDE - 21-NOV-06 - 18-FEB-07 (90 DAYS):

• Emotions - Evidence of Increase in Anger, Worldwide.
• Feelings - Evidence of Increase in Feelings of Entanglement, Worldwide.
• Irrationality - Evidence of Pain and Irrational Exuberance, Worldwide.

See DISCLAIMER.

WORLD EVENTS

President George W. Bush escalated the war in Iraq starting 10-Jan-07. The U.S. embassy in Athens was attacked on 12-Jan-07. The Board of Directors of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists set on 17-Jan-07 the "Doomsday Clock" at 5 minutes to midnight. The State of the Union address on 23-Jan-07 was followed on 28-Jan-07 with the killing by Iraqi and U.S. forces of more than 250 fighters near Najaf, Iraq. On 27-Jan-07, tens of thousands rallied in Washington, DC, against the war in Iraq.

EXHIBITS

1. Emotions Worldwide - People Worldwide Have Been Highly Confused
2. Feelings Worldwide - People Worldwide Have Been Feeling Extremely Entangled
3. Irrationality Worldwide - People Worldwide Have Been Experiencing a Substantial Increase in Pain
4. Threat Assessment - Destructive Potential/Terrorism

REPORTS

1. State of the Union 2007
2. Doomsday Clock
3. Attack on U.S. Embassy in Athens 12-Jan-07

See DISCLAIMER.

CODE ORANGE DESTRUCTIVE POTENTIAL (POTENTIAL FOR HUNDREDS OF DEATHS PER INCIDENT) IS 100%; IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE, THE TERRORISM ALERT CODE COULD SWITCH FROM ORANGE TO RED AS EARLY AS 10-JAN-07.

The Terrorism Alert Code switched from BLUE to YELLOW on 29-Dec-06, the day Saddam Hussein was executed, then to GREEN on 4-Jan-07, the day the new Democratic Congress was sworn in. The current Terrorism Alert Code is YELLOW.

If the latest 7-day Economic Uncertainty trends continue:

1. The Code ORANGE DESTRUCTIVE POTENTIAL (hundreds of deaths per incident) could continue to peak at 100% on 8-Jan-07 (A2);
2. The Propitiousness of the Opportunity for Terrorism could rise to 52.9% on 22-Jan-06 (B2); and
3. The Terrorism Alert Code could switch from ORANGE to RED as early as 10-Jan-07 (C2).

Exhibits - Historical Data and Forecast:

1. Threat Assessment - Destructive Potential/Terrorism
2. MI2 Security Matrix - Conditional Forecast Animation
3. Terrorism Forecast - Propitiousness for Terrorism

See DISCLAIMER.

THE 7-DAY ATTENTION FLUX INDICATES THAT

• PEOPLE'S CONCERN FOR JUSTICE EXCEEDED THE 90% LEVEL ON 22-SEP-06, AND HIT A RECORD 100% ON 27-SEP-06;
• PEOPLE'S CONCERN FOR LAW ALSO EXCEEDED THE 90% LEVEL STARTING ON 23-SEP-06.

EXHIBITS

1. Worldwide Stream of Thought: 1-Apr-06 - 28-Sep-06 [M-181]
2. Worldwide Focus of Attention: 1-Apr-06 - 28-Sep-06 [M-182]
3. Threat Assessment: 1-Apr-06 - 28-Sep-06 [M-200]

See DISCLAIMER.

9/11 ANNIVERSARY

7-SEP-06 SECURITY FORECAST: ORANGE ALERT FOR 9-SEP-06; RED ALERT FOR 21-SEP-06. THE EXTREME DESTRUCTIVE POTENTIAL (MORE THAN ONE THOUSAND DEATHS PER INCIDENT) WAS 0.0% ON 6-SEP-06. THE VERY HIGH DESTRUCTIVE POTENTIAL (HUNDREDS OF DEATHS PER INCIDENT) PEAKED AT 80% ON 8-AUG-06.

FORECAST ON 7-SEP-06 FOR  7-SEP-06 - 21-SEP-06: MAXIMUM THREAT ALERT:

• MAXIMUM DESTRUCTIVE POTENTIAL:
  • EXTREME 0.0%, 7-SEP-06
  • VERY HIGH 80.0%, 8-AUG-06
• MOST PROPITIOUS OPPORTUNITY FOR TERRORISM:
  • CODE RED 59.5%, 21-SEP-06
• MAXIMUM TERRORISM ALERT:
  • RED ALERT 21-SEP-06
  • ORANGE ALERT 9-SEP-06.

UPDATE, 21-SEP-06

CHAIN OF EVENTS SINCE THE THREAT ASSESSMENT OF 7-SEP-06

The VERY HIGH Destructive Potential (100 or more deaths per incident) surged from 0% on 12-Sep-06 to 22.4% on 20-Sep-06.

• 12-Sep-06: Pope Benedict XVI discusses reason in religion and quotes Emperor Manuel II Paleologos: "Show me just what Muhammad brought that was new and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." Muslims are insulted; the Pope apologizes on 17-Sep-06.¹ 

• 19-29-Sep-06: UN General Assembly 61st Session; powerful anti US "imperialism" feelings are vented; Iran calls for an overhaul of the Security Council.²
• 19-20-Sep-06: International Monetary Fund World Bank Group: Annual Meeting.³
• 19-Sep-06: Military coup led by army commander General Sonthi Boonyaratklin in Thailand ousts prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra.^4-5
• 19-20-Sep-06: Hungary's Prime Minister Ferenc Gyurcsany's admission that he lied about public finances triggers riots.^6-7

For the latest Threat Assessment, click on Security Matrix (1-5). For the retrospective Threat Assessments/Forecasts Pre/Post 9/11, see HISTORY: 9/11.

See the DISCLAIMER.

REFERENCES

1. Muslim body welcomes Pope apology. BBC News, 17-Sep-06. http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/5352040.stm

2. Security Council is unjust and manipulated by some States, Iranian leader tells UN debate. UN General Assembly 61st Session, UN News Center, 19-Sep-06. http://www.un.org/ga/61/news/news.asp?NewsID=19910

3. 2006 Annual Meetings Boards of Governors, Singapore, 19-20-Sep-06. International Monetary Fund World Bank Group. http://www.imf.org/external/am/2006/index.htm

4. Shawn W. Crispin. (Bangkok.) Thailand: All the king's men. Asia Times, 21-Sep-06. http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Southeast_Asia/HI21Ae02.html

5. Ron Corben. (Bangkok.) Thai Coup Leader Promises to Hold Elections by October 2007. VOA News, 20-Sep-06. http://voanews.com/english/2006-09-20-voa24.cfm

6. Budapest riots: Hungarian views. BBC News, 20-Sep-06. http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/talking_point/5363492.stm

7. Alex Kuli and Balazs Penz. (Budapest.) Hungarian Premier, Mayor Urge Police to Crack Down on Rioters. Bloomberg, 20-Sep-06. http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601100&sid=av2dfHNypndo

DESPITE THE QANA MASSACRE, THE U.S. AND FRANCE PROPOSED A U.N. RESOLUTION FAVORING ISRAEL. LEBANON OBJECTED. THE FORECAST ON 6-AUG-06 INDICATED THAT THE 7-DAY TERRORISM ALERT INDEX WOULD FALL INTO THE RED ALERT ZONE. THE UN SECURITY COUNCIL VOTED TO END THE  HOSTILITIES ON 11-AUG-06.

THE 15-AUG-06 FORECAST INDICATES THAT THE 7-DAY TERRORISM ALERT INDEX CAN FALL AGAIN INTO THE RED ALERT ZONE, MORE DEEPLY THAN IT DID ON 9-AUG-06, IF THE POLICIES AS AT 14-AUG-06 ARE MAINTAINED.

FORECAST ON 15-AUG-06 FOR  15-AUG-06 - 29-AUG-06: MAXIMUM THREAT ALERT:

• MAXIMUM DESTRUCTIVE POTENTIAL:
  • EXTREME 63.3%, 26-JUN-06 (33.3%, 16-JUL-06)
  • VERY HIGH 96.7%, 26-JUL-06
• MOST PROPITIOUS OPPORTUNITY FOR TERRORISM:
  • CODE RED 66.2%, 29-AUG-06 (PREVIOUS FORECASTS: 63.8%, 27-AUG-06; 59.5%. 21-AUG-06; 62.9%, 23-AUG-06; )
• MAXIMUM TERRORISM ALERT:
  • RED ALERT 29-AUG-06 (OTHER REPORTED ALERT MAXIMA: 9-AUG-06, 23-AUG-06, 27-AUG-06; THE FIRST CODE RED ALERT SIGNAL WAS GENERATED ON 3-AUG-06).

For information on the buildup of the Very High and Extreme Destructive Potential, see the Global Security Threat Assessment first posted on 12-Jun-06.

CHAIN OF EVENTS

• 30-Jul-06: Qana massacre.
• 5-Aug-06: The U.S. and France propose a draft U.N. Resolution that favors Israel; Lebanon objects.
• 9-Aug-06: Israel decides to expand its offensive in Lebanon.
• 10-Aug-06: UK authorities arrest 23 suspects and foil an alleged airline terrorist plot. The attacks allegedly target United Airlines, American Airlines, and Continental Airlines planes. The UK threat level is increased to Critical (Home Office). The US raises the threat level to Severe, or Red, for commercial flights originating in the UK bound for the US (Department of Homeland Security).
• 11-Aug-06: The UN Security Council votes unanimously to end hostilities in the Middle East.
• 14-Aug-06: Lebanon-Israel ceasefire.

For the latest THREAT ASSESSMENT, click on Security Matrix (1-5).

See the DISCLAIMER.

EXHIBITS

1. Threat Assessment on 9-Aug-06 for 10-Aug-06 - 24-Aug-06 [M-175]
2. Threat Assessment on 8-Aug-06 for 9-Aug-06 - 23-Aug-06 [M-169]
3. Threat Assessment on 20-Jul-06 for 21-Jul-06 - 4-Aug-06 [M-168]
4. Threat Assessment on 4-Jul-06 for 5-Jul-06 - 19-Jul-06 [M-167]

REFERENCES

1. Gideon Levy. To Failure's Credit. Haaretz, 13-Aug-06.http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/749680.html
2. President Discusses Foreign Policy During Visit to State Department. The White House, Press Release, 14-Aug-06. http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2006/08/20060814-3.html
3. Seymour M. Hersh. ANNALS OF NATIONAL SECURITY: WATCHING LEBANON. Washington’s interests in Israel’s war. The New Yorker, 21-Aug-06. (Posted 14-Aug-06.) http://www.newyorker.com/fact/content/articles/060821fa_fact
4. Fragile truce holding in Lebanon. BBC News, 15-Aug-06. http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/4793177.stm
5.  Christopher Allbritton. Returning Lebanese celebrate, jam roads. High esteem for Hezbollah, which will help rebuild. San Francisco Chronicle, 15-Aug-06. http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2006/08/15/MNG5KKIPP51.DTL
6. Humanitarian Factsheet on Lebanon. United Nations, Press Release IHA/1215, 11-Aug-06. [Factsheet prepared by the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA).] http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs/2006/iha1215.doc.htm

BUILDUP OF VERY HIGH AND EXTREME DESTRUCTIVE POTENTIAL. THE BUILDUP CAN BE FOLLOWED BY A PROPITIOUS OPPORTUNITY FOR TERRORISM. THE BUILDUP HAS BEEN EXPLOITED BY NORTH KOREA FOR POLITICAL PURPOSES; AND BY ISRAEL FOR MILITARY PURPOSES.

FORECAST FOR  22-JUL-06 - 5-AUG-06:
MAXIMUM THREAT ALERT:

• MAXIMUM DESTRUCTIVE POTENTIAL:
  • EXTREME 63.3%, 26-JUN-06
  • VERY HIGH 80.5%, 21-JUL-06
• MOST PROPITIOUS OPPORTUNITY FOR TERRORISM:
  • CODE RED 56.7%. 5-AUG-06 (PREVIOUS FORECASTS: 51.9%. 4-AUG-06; and 41.0%, 20-JUL-06)
• MAXIMUM TERRORISM ALERT:
  • RED ALERT 5-AUG-06 (PREVIOUS FORECASTS: 5-JUL-06 and 21-JUL-06).

The Destructive Potential that followed al-Zarqawi's death has so far been smaller than the Destructive Potentials that preceded 9/11 and 7/7. The Maximum EXTREME Destructive Potentials for 9/11 and 7/7 were 90% (16-Aug-01) and 67.1% (2-Jul-05), respectively.

The buildup of the VERY HIGH destructive potential (hundred or more deaths per incident) started on 15-May-06, that of the EXTREME destructive potential (more than 1,000 deaths per incident), on 1-Jun-06.

• 2-Jun-06: Canada's RCMP arrests 17 individuals, preventing alleged terrorist attacks in Ontario.
• 7-Jun-06: U.S. air strike kills Abu Musab al-Zarqawi.
• 12-Jun-06: Abu Hamza al-Muhajer is appointed the new leader of al-Qaeda in Iraq.
• 22-Jun-06: U.S. authorities arrest 7 individuals allegedly involved in a terrorist plot targeting Chicago's Sears Tower and several FBI offices.
• 28-Jun-06: Israel initiates an incursion into Palestinian territory.
• 4/5-Jul-06: North Korea (DPRK) test-fires between 7 and 10 missiles, including a Taepodong 2 long-range missile which can theoretically reach the United States.
• 7-Jul-06: New York tunnel bomb plot is uncovered.
• 12-Jul-06 through 22-Jul-06: Israel attacks Lebanon's infrastructure and kills more than 300 people^1,2, mostly civilians; as many as 500,000 people in southern Lebanon are displaced²; Hezbollah retaliates with rocket attacks against northern Israeli cities and kills more than 30 people¹. United Nations Human Rights Commissioner Louise Arbour threatens the "perpetrators of wanton violence against civilians in the current Middle East conflict with liability for war crimes."^3-5

For the latest THREAT ASSESSMENT, click on Security Matrix (1-5).

See the DISCLAIMER.

SEE Threat Assessment on 4-Jul-06 for 5-Jul-06 - 19-Jul-06 [M-167]
SEE Threat Assessment on 20-Jul-06 for 21-Jul-06 - 4-Aug-06 [M-168]
SEE 21-Day Security Alert Simulation - Conditional Security Forecast, 3-Jul-06 - 23-Jul-06 [M-149]

REFERENCES
1. Sonja Pace. (Jerusalem.) Rockets Hit Northern Israel, Stepped Up Ground Operations in Lebanon Likely. VOA News, 21-Jul-06.  http://www.voanews.com/english/2006-07-21-voa13.cfm
2. Christian Henderson. (Beirut.) Dozens missing in Lebanon. Aljazeera.net, 21-Jul-06. http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/80A6775F-5AF3-425B-B86F-9497378249E5.htm
3. High Commissioner for Human Rights Calls for Protection of Civilians and Accountability in Latest Mideast Crisis. United Nations, Press Release, 19-Jul-06. http://www.unhchr.ch/huricane/huricane.nsf/view01/
5AF0033D13E85EFEC12571B00061BFDE?opendocument
4. Natalie Hrubos. UN rights commissioner warns of war crimes liability in Middle East conflict. Jurist, 19-Jul-06. http://jurist.law.pitt.edu/paperchase/2006/07/un-rights-commissioner-warns-of-war.php
5. Tom Regan, UN warns Hizbullah, Israel of 'war crimes' liability. The Christian Science Monitor, Terrorism & Security, 20-Jul-06. http://www.csmonitor.com/2006/0720/dailyUpdate.html

People's worldwide focus of attention upon DECEIT appears to be correlated with the following 2 political events (important: correlation does not imply causality):

• 8-May-06. Washington, DC
  President George W. Bush nominates General Michael Hayden, former head of the National Security Agency (NSA), as Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) [1]. Anthony D. Romero, ACLU Executive Director: "Hayden's approval of warrantless surveillance on Americans raises serious questions about whether the CIA would be further unleashed on the American public. It was under General Hayden's watch that the NSA started to wiretap Americans, without court or Congress' approval, even though the FISA Court acts quickly to review requests for intelligence investigations" [6].
• 10-May-06. Jakarta, Indonesia; Iran
  Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad accuses the West of hypocrisy and "big powers" of monopolizing science and technology at the expense of developing nations [1-3].

For the latest worldwide "stream of thought," click on STREAM OF THOUGHT (1-4).

See the DISCLAIMER.

SEE People's Worldwide Stream of Thought [M-152]
SEE World Events: Chronological Bibliography -- 2006 May

• Los Angeles, CA; Chicago, IL; New York, NY; New Orleans, LA
  "Day Without Immigrants": Between 500,000 and 600,000 people in Los Angeles and about 400,000 people in Chicago stage a boycott day and demand legal status for undocumented immigrants [1-3].

• Europe; Indonesia
  May Day rallies: More than a million people demonstrate across Europe [1]. About 30,000 Indonesian workers protest in Jakarta against newly proposed labor laws favoring investors [3].

For the latest worldwide "stream of thought," click on STREAM OF THOUGHT (1-4).

See the DISCLAIMER.

SEE People's Worldwide Stream of Thought [M-152]
SEE World Events: Chronological Bibliography -- 2006 May

• 19-Apr-06. Seattle, WA
  Chinese President Hu Jintao meets with Microsoft founder Bill Gates [1-2]. Bill Gates, in his welcoming remarks at luncheon honoring Hu Jintao: "As you have stated Mr. President, science and technology are the most important drivers of productivity, economic and social development. You have said that developments in technology are giving rise to a new round of industrial revolution. We agree with you." [1]
• 20-Apr-06. Washington, DC
  President George W. Bush and Chinese President Hu Jintao hold talks [1-5]. Key U.S.-China issues include: Competition for energy resources; China's currency; U.S. trade deficit; theft of intellectual property; and human rights [5]. The U.S. trade deficit with China in 2005 was $202 billion [4-5]. President Bush: "China has become successful because the Chinese people are experienc[e] the freedom to buy, and to sell, and to produce -- and China can grow even more successful by allowing the Chinese people the freedom to assemble, to speak freely, and to worship" [1].

For the latest worldwide "stream of thought," click on STREAM OF THOUGHT (1-4).

See the DISCLAIMER.

SEE People's Worldwide Stream of Thought [M-152]
SEE World Events: Chronological Bibliography -- 2006 April

The VERY HIGH destructive potential (hundred or more deaths per incident) entailed in economic uncertainty peaked at 100% on 26-Mar-06. This potential can be exploited for violence.

Should current trends continue, the propitiousness for CODE RED terrorism over the next 21 days could potentially soar to 66.2% on 10-May-06.

• A new message from Osama bin Laden was aired by Aljazeera on 23-Apr-06 [1], 10 days after this alert was first issued.
• 3 explosions in Dahab in the Sinai peninsula have reportedly killed 22 people and injured 150 (initial estimates) [1].
• Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, in an Internet video on 25-Apr-06: "By God, America will be defeated in Iraq" [1-2].

For the latest THREAT ASSESSMENT, click on Security Matrix (1-5).

See the DISCLAIMER.

SEE 21-Day Security Alert Simulation - Conditional Security Forecast [M-149]
SEE Terrorism/Destructive Potential - Current Advisory [M-147]
SEE World Events: Chronological Bibliography -- 2006 April

Investors Use Markets to Value Corporations. But Timely Market Values Are No Longer Enough. Investors Must Spy the Mindshares of What People Value -- Each and Every Day. The Timing of the Recent Mega Mergers Demonstrates that Corporations Need More than Market Indexes and Actionable Market Information; they Need to Be Better Informed About the People's "Stream of Thought" and the Correlation Fluxes the Stream Entails.

While It May Not Have Been Possible for Dubai Ports World, for Example, to Control the Timing of Events Surrounding Its Acquisition of P&O, or the Anti-Arab Xenophobia in Some Sectors of the U.S., the Actual Timing of the Announcements Could Not Have Been Worse.

Starting 21-Feb-06, the "Slavery" and "Freedom" Indexes Became Positively Correlated, Betraying a Global Fear of the Orwellian Specter "FREEDOM IS SLAVERY."

Mega Mergers, Corporate Restructurings, Threats of Terrorism, and Laws Favoring Creditors and Large Corporations Over Citizens Are Spooking People Around the World.

Evidence Corroborating Substantial Global Economic Anxiety Can Be Spied Through Digital Imaging of the Correlation Flux for the "Slavery" Index as Entailed in People's "Stream of Thought."

SEE What the "Slavery" Correlations Flux Reveals About Events Involving Al-Qaeda, the Cartoons Protests, Google, Dubai Ports World, Mega Merger, the New French First Employment Contract (CPE), the Bank of Japan, and the New US National Debt Limit [M-138]
SEE From Slavery's Perspective, Bankers Are Capitalism --  Slavery Correlations [M-137]

If Al-Qaeda's Objective Was to Wreak Havoc Upon the Oil Supply from Saudi Arabia, then MI2 Security Charts Demonstrate that the Suicide Car Bomb Attack on the Abqaiq Saudi Aramco Facility on 24-Feb-06 Was Ill Timed (from the Attacker's Point of View). The Time Period from 14-Jan-06 through 12-Feb-06, While Not Most Propitious for a Devastating Attack, Would Have Been More Destructive. It Is Important to Note, However, that While Al-Qaeda Makes "Mistakes," It Learns from Its "Mistakes." The Second Attack on the World Trade Center Provides the Incontrovertible Proof.

The Next Attack on a Saudi Oil Facility, if Executed at a Most Propitious Time, Could Have Devastating Consequences for the Global Oil Supply in General -- and the American Economy in Particular.

There Is Currently no Tool that Predicts with Absolute Certainty the Location and Timing of a Terrorist Attack. However, there Are Powerful Tools (Such as those Provided by the Macroknow Intellectual Intelligence System) that Can Detect. Monitor and Track

• Economic Uncertainty
• the Destructive Potential Entailed in Economic Uncertainty, and
• the Propitiousness of Time Periods for Terrorism.

SEE Conditional Security Alert [M-136].
SEE Mind Hat WORLD SECURITY.

THE DANISH ANTI-PROPHET MOHAMMED CARTOONS AND THE ENSUING ANTI-DANISH PROTESTS IN EUROPE, THE MIDDLE EAST, ASIA, AND AFRICA, STARTING ON 3-FEB-06, REVEALED DEEP GLOBAL CONCERNS:

• SLAVERY AND FREEDOM  BECAME POSITIVELY CORRELATED (FROM 5-FEB-06 THROUGH 9-FEB-06)
• SO DID SLAVERY AND BANKERS, AND SLAVERY AND CAPITALISM.

THE PROTESTS ALSO TRIGGERED CONCERNS ABOUT DECEIT AND JUSTICE.

THE POSITIVE SLAVERY-FREEDOM CORRELATION, WHILE TRANSIENT, IS DOUBLY DISTURBING:

• IT EVOKES THE ORWELLIAN SPECTER "FREEDOM IS SLAVERY"
• IT IMPLICATES, IN THE MINDS OF THE MASSES, BANKERS AND CAPITALISM.

SEE Bankers, Capitalism, Slavery, the Law, and the Anti-Danish Cartoons Protest [M-138]
SEE From Slavery's Perspective, Bankers Are Capitalism [M-137]
SEE Eye on Money, Bankers, Debt, Deceit, Free Trade, Justice, Law, Freedom, Slavery, Good and Evil [M-140]

CONCERN ABOUT MONEY IS AT A RECORD HIGH. THE FOCUS ON MONEY BECAME MOST INTENSE (100%) ON 30-JAN-06. ALSO, PEOPLE HAVE BEEN SUPPRESSING CONCERNS ABOUT EVIL, SLAVERY, AND DEBT.

SEE Eye on Money, Bankers, Debt, Deceit, Free Trade, Justice, Law, Slavery, Good and Evil [M-125]

THE TERRORISM ALERT PATTERN (TAP) FOR THE 90-DAY TIME PERIOD ENDING 19-JAN-06 IS 'BEST' CORRELATED WITH THAT FOR THE TIME PERIOD FROM 25-MAY-01 THROUGH 22-AUG-01 (THE CORRELATION'S 95% CONFIDENCE INTERVAL RANGES FROM 0.575 TO 0.792).

THE 9/11 ATTACK OCCURRED 26 DAYS AFTER THE EXTREME DESTRUCTIVE POTENTIAL (1,000 OR MORE DEATHS PER INCIDENT) PEAKED AT 90% ON 16-AUG-01. CURRENTLY, THE EXTREME DESTRUCTIVE POTENTIAL IS 0%. HOWEVER, THE VERY HIGH DESTRUCTIVE POTENTIAL (HUNDREDS OF DEATHS PER INCIDENT) PEAKED MOST RECENTLY ON 7-JAN-06 AT 94.3%.

SEE Security Alert - Terrorism/Destructive Potential -- Current Advisory [M-133]
SEE Conditional Security Forecast -- 21-Day Security Alert Simulation [M-134]

SEE Eye on Money, Bankers, Debt, Deceit, Free Trade, Justice, Law, Slavery, Good and Evil [M-125]

EVIDENCE FROM GLOBAL EMPIRICAL THOUGHT STREAMS CORROBORATED A STRONG PERSISTENT NEGATIVE CORRELATION BETWEEN JUSTICE AND FREEDOM, IMPLYING AN UNEASY GLOBAL FEELING OF UNFREEDOM. STARTING ON 8-DEC-05, PEOPLE'S FOCUS SWITCHED TO SLAVERY. THE FOCUS UPON SLAVERY BECAME MOST ACUTE (100%) ON 13-DEC-05.

IRONICALLY, THE WORD COUNT FOR "FREEDOM" IN 3 SPEECHES BY PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH, ON 7, 12, AND 13 DECEMBER 2005, WAS ALSO A RECORD 56!

THE CONTINUED INTENSE FOCUS ON LAW IS ESPECIALLY TROUBLING. THE MINDRANK OF LAW PEAKED AT 100% ON 7-SEP-01 (4 DAYS BEFORE 9/11). THIS MEANS THAT AL-QAEDA CHOSE TO ATTACK THE U.S. WHEN PEOPLE WORLDWIDE WERE MOST TROUBLED ABOUT THE "RULE OF LAW."
 

SEE Keeping and Eye on Money, Bankers, Debt, Deceit, Free Trade, Justice and Law [M-122]

SEE The "Rule of Law" Trumps the "Rule of Justice" [M-119]
SEE Impact of Government Comportment on "Justice" -- The Assault on "Freedom" [M-120]